Scoring my COVID Predictions Part 3 – A Shift in Education

“I have never let my schooling interfere with my education.” Mark Twain “I did then what I knew how to do. Now that I know better, I do better.” Maya Angelo Prediction 3 – High school and college education will adopt a lower cost online model. With notable exceptions! My thesis for this prediction was that colleges need the constant inflow of tuition payments, and all but the top tier schools would adopt remote learning as they realized the profit potential. With constant

Scoring my COVID Predictions Part 2 – Remote Medicine

“Doctors are great–as long as you don’t need them.” Edward E. Rosenbaum “Don’t misinform your doctor nor your lawyer.” Unknown As I reviewed this prediction, I realized this was one of my best researched posts. There were multiple examples of how technology was positively impacting healthcare delivery, and all of the data led to the logical conclusion that both experience and technology were driving us to more efficient and cost-effective delivery of healthcare services. M

Scoring my COVID Predictions Part 1 – The Rise of the Remote Worker

“I can accept failure, everyone fails at something. But I can’t accept not trying.” Michael Jordan “We like to give people the freedom to work where they want, safe in the knowledge that they have the drive and expertise to perform excellently, whether they are at their desk or in their kitchen. Yours truly has never worked out of an office, and never will.” Richard Branson The COVID-19 pandemic taught us that for the right type of work, working remotely can be incredibly ef

COVID 19 Predictions – How Accurate Were They?

“Our words reveal our thoughts; our manners mirror our self-esteem; our actions reflect our character; our habits predict the future.” William Arthur Ward “Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.” Niels Bohr In early 2020 as the pandemic was just beginning to sweep across the United States, I recognized that we were witnessing a profound event that would dramatically alter the lifestyles and habits of large segments of our population. Through March, Apri

Applying Qualitative Risk Analysis to the COVID-19 Vaccine Decision - 2

“Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.” Warren Buffett “The risk of a wrong decision is preferable to the terror of indecision.” Maimonides Everyone in the United States was faced with the choice: Do I get vaccinated? In my last post I compared the risks associated with getting vaccinated with the risk of contracting COVID-19. We also explored the quality of the available data. While the data is obviously flawed, the known risks of either decision were so small

Applying Qualitative Risk Analysis to the COVID-19 Vaccine Decision

“So we shall let the reader answer this question for himself: who is the happier man, he who has braved the storm of life and lived or he who has stayed securely on shore and merely existed?” Hunter S. Thompson “Never was anything great achieved without danger.” Niccolo Machiavelli Everyone in the United States was faced with this choice: Do I get vaccinated or not? This a very personal choice that was made more difficult by misinformation on both sides of the issue, lack

My experience with “Cancel Culture”, Part 1 – Background

"Cancel culture is not actually about justice. It is about control. People use cancellation to force conformity to ideals.” Teal Swan “The world is messy. There are ambiguities. People who do really good stuff have flaws.” President Barrack Obama I got canceled. I wasn’t even aware that it was occurring, but it happened. I am a seasoned executive who has traveled all over the world working complex and challenging issues. I have led complicated projects and have participated

Tip 3 for the Remote Manager – Follow the rules!

“People. They're not all bad, but do you really want to risk it? Perhaps that was the unofficial motto of the Soviet Union...” Dmitry Dyatlov “And thus, the pendulum must swing right to correct what is wrong so that it can in turn swing back when all that is wrong will be blamed on those who are right.” Volker G. Fremuth If you are working from home, the past several months are beginning to take on a “Groundhog Day” feel. Every workday feels almost exactly like the next. You

Tip 2 for the Remote Manager – Provide structure

“I thrive in structure. I drown in chaos.” Anna Kendrick, Scrappy Little Nobody “Structure significantly influences behavior, thereby dramatically impacting results.” Chris Hutchinson, Ripple: A Field Manual for Leadership that Works People need structure. The alarm clock goes off and the ritual begins! We turn off the alarm, get the coffee started and take a quick shower. We take care of our grooming needs, pick the right outfit for the day, and head out the door ready for b

Tip 1 for the Remote Manager – People First

"Remote work is the future of work." Alexis Ohanian, Reddit "You can never over-communicate enough as a leader at a company, but at a remote company, nothing could be truer. Because you don't physically see people in-person, information doesn't spread in the same way, so leaders need to do the heavy lifting for evangelizing the message." Claire Lew, Know Your Team On Friday, January 31, 2020, officials from the US Government officially announced “Foreign nationals other than

The pandemic got you down? Look to Maslow!

“Overthinking is not a disease; it is due to the underuse of your creative power.” Amit Ray, Meditation: Insights and Inspirations “Your feelings might seem overwhelming but they are not your entirety: you are more and beyond what they can overwhelm.” Dr. Jacinta Mpalyenkana, PhD, MBA I have a confession to make. My stomach hurts all the time and I am beginning to have trouble sleeping. I should be thriving during this pandemic! I am resilient by nature and my employer has do

Final Thoughts on COVID-19 – Risk Management Principles are the Key!

“Business people need to understand the psychology of risk more than the mathematics of risk.” Paul Gibbons, The Science of Successful Organizational Change: How Leaders Set Strategy, Change Behavior, and Create an Agile Culture “A major lesson in risk management is that a 'receding sea' is not a lucky offer of an extra piece of free beach, but the warning sign of an upcoming tsunami.” Jos Berkemeijer It is interesting to watch the evolving discussion about “opening up” vario

COVID–19 My Predictions Part 6–Rejection of Science

“The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd.” Bertrand Russell “Science is the great antidote to the poison of enthusiasm and superstition.” Adam Smith COVID-19 Prediction number 6 – Science will be rejected Full disclosure. I actually wrote this a few weeks ago before people began to protest some of the more draconian stay at home orders. Events overtook my "prediction", so from your perspective this will be more of a

COVID-19 My Predictions Part 5 – Skepticism about “Experts”

“Always listen to experts. They'll tell you what can't be done, and why. Then do it.” Robert A. Heinlein, Time Enough for Love “Philosophers are people who know less and less about more and more, until they know nothing about everything. Scientists are people who know more and more about less and less, until they know everything about nothing.” Konrad Lorenz Prediction 5 – People will no longer blindly follow expert’s advice. Are you losing faith in experts? You probably shou

COVID – 19 My Predictions Part 4 – The Fall of the Globalist

“We're exploring the possibility of building a wall to stem the exodus." "Don't be ridiculous," Goddard said. "Only idiots build walls.” Neal Shusterman, The Toll “When we image borders, we fail at imaging God.” Tristan Sherwin, Living the Dream?: The Problem with Escapist, Exhibitionist, Empire-Building Christianity Prediction 4 – Borders matter. There will be an increase in nationalism. The foolishness of many "elite" positions were completely exposed by the COVID-19 pandem

COVID–19 My Predictions Part 3 – A Shift in Education

“Since most American students cannot simply pay their full tuition out of pocket, financing a college education often takes the form of loans, both private and from the government.” Charles B. Rangel “I just want to be able to keep my house and pay for my son's school tuition in Los Angeles.” Diablo Cody Prediction 3 – High school and college education will adopt a lower cost online model. With notable exceptions! I am disgusted at the cost of college tuition. Are you? Consi

COVID – 19 My Predictions Part 2 – Remote Medicine

“My doctor gave me six months to live, but when I couldn't pay the bill he gave me six months more.” Walter Matthau “Technology now allows people to connect anytime, anywhere, to anyone in the world, from almost any device. This is dramatically changing the way people work, facilitating 24/7 collaboration with colleagues who are dispersed across time zones, countries, and continents.” Michael Dell Prediction 2 - We will rapidly adopt remote medicine, and medical costs for day

The Importance of “framing” Part 10 – Getting it Wrong – COVID-19 – Part 2

“If you are going to sin, sin against God, not the bureaucracy. God will forgive you but the bureaucracy won't.” Hyman G. Rickover “How many twenty-second-century bureaucrats did it take to change a light panel? We'll have a sub-committee meeting and get back to you with an estimate.” Peter F. Hamilton, Great North Road The slow and often incoherent reaction to the COVID – 19 pandemic is a sight to behold. It appears many large organizations around the world are having prob